Sunday, 11 March 2018

Cheltenham 2018 - Full Editor's preview


Cheltenham Preview 2018

Supreme Novice Hurdle
Punter Entries   Apples Shakira,  Next Destination,  Samcro , Sharjah,  Act Of Valour Debuchet,  Slate House,
As always a guessing game as to what runs where, Samcro would be very hard to beat if he runs here, but indications are he goes to the Ballymore instead. Apples Shakira has done nothing wrong but not beaten much, Next Destination  won at Naas last time ,  Act Of Valour has been disappointing. Sharjah, was well behind Samcro last time but had looked useful before that, Slate House has been disappointing of late but vibes from the Tizzard yard encouraging and at 28/1 is a good e/w bet and  Debuchet has to find plenty to be involved. Favourite with out Samcro is Getabird, but the one the editor likes is Kalashnikov,

Arkle Chase,
Punter Entries,  Footpad, Pettit Mouchoir, Sceau Royal,  River Wylde, Capitaine, Theo.
Footpad and Pettit Mouchoir stand out. It’s hard to give any chance to River Wylde, Capitaine or Theo, Sceau Royal has place claims at best.  Whilst Footpad is all the rage, I think Pettit Mouchoir can beat him on the day, and at 4/1 currently is a good bet.

Champion Hurdle
Punter Entries Buveur D’ Air, Faugheen,  Apples Jade,  Elgin, Min, Bapume.
Min is unlikely to run, Bapume probably won’t either, Elgin has place claims in what looks a weak race.  A lot depends if Faugheen can back to his very best, as Buveur D’Air looks the part but hasn’t beaten much yet. At 14/ 1 with the mares allowance I like Apples Jade if she takes her chance but she seems booked for the mares race instead.

Mares Hurdle
Punter Entries Apples Jade,  Lets Dance,  La Bagur Au Roi, Vroum Vroum Mag
Apples Jade is the stand out if she runs,  La Bague Au Roi would go close but I hope she runs in the stayers hurdle , Lets Dance would have a good shout if the front 2 don’t run, Vroum Vroum Mag has obvious claims if fully fit and as we know Mullins mares can win this with out a previous run.  Benie Des Diux has strong claims

RSA Chase
Punter Entries  Willoughby Court, Finians Oscar, Benatar, Mount Mews
 Benatar is due to run in the JLT, along with Finians Oscar, and I suspect Willoughby Court, and Mount Mews needs to find plenty to win this. Current favourite is Presenting Percy, but the one I like at 7/1 is Black Corton. He would have been in the editors string, but Paul Nicholls felt he was a summer horse and had basically done his job by mid October !  How ever as kept winning they kept him going and he has been a revelation.

Queen Mother Champion Chase
Punter Entries Altior,  Min, Douvan, Un De Sceau, Great Field, Ball D’Arc Charbel
The much anticipated match between Altior and Douvan is less mouth watering with the doubts surrounding Douvan, if he is back any where near his best it will be  a great contest, but it is a big if. Special Tiara at 14/ 1 is the standout e/w bet of the race, Min and Charbel along with Ball D’arc could run in to a place, but I only see Altior as the winner, though I don’t think he is any value at odds on.

Ballymore Novice Hurdle.
Punter Entries, Samcro, Next Destination, Sharjah, Debuchet,
Samcro is every ones banker of the week and it is hard to see beyond on the basic form. Again though he is no value and has not been to Cheltenham before, so a few doubts hang over him. However trying to find any thing to beat him is not really viable and certainly none of the punter entries are good enough on current form with Next Destination easily best of the rest, and he at 4/1 is a decent bet against the favourite if he runs.

Stayers Hurdle
Punter Entries Apples Jade, Yanworth La Bague Au Roi, Penhill, Uknowhatimeanharry, Wholestone, The Worlds End,
This is one of the most competitive renewals for a long time, and with the likes of Sam Spinner Lil Rockefeller and The New one added to the above, it is a mouth watering prospect. Apples Jade is due to run in the mares hurdle, and I have doubts over The New One staying. I really like La Bague Au Roi who just keeps improving and at around 16/1 looks a great e/w bet to me, especially if the ground is on the soft side as her 7lb allowance is very valuable

JLT Novice Chase,
Punter Entries, Benatar, Finians Oscar, Mount Mews,
This has rather fallen apart with a few injuries ruling out the initial favourites. Benatar is currently available at 8/1 which suprises me as he looks to have a big shout, along with Terrefort, and Modus who are similar prices currently. My preference is for Benatar.

Ryanair Chase.
Punter Entries Un De Sceau, Waiting Patiently, Top Notch, Cue Card, Yorkhill, Cloudy Dream, Ball D’Arc
It looks as though Waiting Patiently will miss this and Cue Card is more likely to go for the Gold Cup, ,although if he was mine I would run here after his recent Ascot run over the same distance. Cloudy Dream rarely wins, Ball D’Arc would have place claims, but it is hard to see beyond Un De Sceau.

Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle
Punter Entries, Debuchet, White Moon, Brahama Bull
Brahama Bull would have a big shout but has not been seen since early November, so that is a question mark, Debucet has been disappointing, and White Moon disappointed at Sandown back in December. However, noises from the Tizzard camp are positive, and if back to his best has good e/w claims. Santini and Chef Des Obeaux have good claims and Chef Des Obeaux (6/1) is my pick here

Ultima Handicap Chase (Tuesday)
Punter Entry Vicente, Rock The Kasbah
Vicente is a course and distance winner and has strong claims  Whilst I would love Rock The Kasbah win, it is hard to see, as he needs every thing to his way, and I don,t see that happening here . Others to have claims are Coo Star Sivola, Cogry, Vintage Clouds. American.  I am going to side with Vicente, and in his absence, Coo Star Sivola.

National Hunt Challenge Cup ( Tuesday )
Gordon Elliotts Jury Duty looks the one here.

Coral Handicap Hurdle
Punter Entries William Henry, Topofthegame, Lets Dance, Fix Le Cap, Le Breuil
Le Breuil is a long way down the weights so may not get in this, but if he does he has a standout chance. Ben Pauling told the punter yesterday I’m leaning towards running him in the Coral Cup. He’s a horse I’ve always thought a lot of and he’s had troubles with his feet this season so hasn’t really had a clear run at the game. I was disappointed when he got beat at Aintree but he was beaten by a decent, well-handicapped horse and in hindsight it wasn’t a bad run


The  John Torpey Memorial Trophy

                    March   Total
Cliff                          00          677.1
Martin                     00         675.5
Peej                    00                560.7
Steve                     00           540.64
Tony                    00          442.8
Cod                      00           434.5
Neil                      00            364.6
Bob                    00            289.3


 Sceau Royal misses the festival through injury, joining Willoughby Court , Top Notch and Vroom Vroum  Mag on the side lines

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